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Sports column: Look at the player, not just the stats

They say there are three kinds of ways to deceive somebody: lies, damn lies, and statistics. Sometimes you have to look beyond the numbers to find the true value of an individual. In virtually no sport is this truer than soccer.

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MICHAEL BELMONT
Gargoyle sports editor
Posted Tuesday, Dec. 5, 2006
Sports & Opinions

WHAT MAKES a soccer player “good”? True, different people will have nuanced perspectives. But if you've been around the game long enough, you'll have noticed that there's more to it than just finishing.

I'll be frank: It's not necessarily true that the more goals a player has, the better he (or she) is. In a sport where entire teams of 11 players typically have less than 10 shots on target per game, matches are usually won or lost in the middle of the field because the team that's better able to obtain, possess, and distribute the ball from the middle of the park often creates more and better scoring opportunities than its opponents.

Oftentimes, especially at higher levels of play, scoring is simply a matter of being in the right place at the right time. It's the quick precision passing of multiple players that created the goal, but only two of them get any mention in box scores. The fact is that all forwards, even the best in the world, rely heavily on their teammates to set them up.

Furthermore, the distribution of scoring opportunities is not nearly as even as in other sports. Forwards are in much better position to assist or score than anybody else. They simply get more good chances on a consistent basis.

To compare goals and assists between midfielders and forwards as a direct measure of their value to the team is ridiculous. Midfielders almost never have more goals than forwards in the long run, and in the rare cases that they do, it's usually because they occupy a special attacking role that limits their defensive responsibilities.

Many high school soccer fans, including a sizable contingent at Uni, seem to interpret soccer games the same way they would basketball games. They equate the phrases “leading scorer” and “best player.” The reality is that it's possible to absolutely dominate a game and orchestrate an offense without recording a stat. It's also possible to be relatively uninvolved in your team's buildup and attack but come away with three goals to your credit.

Soccer, unlike basketball, volleyball, or even baseball, has very few statistical categories. Nobody keeps track of pass completion percentages, successful tackles (steals), number of quality crosses (passes from the flank into the other team's goal area), yards gained, or anything of the nature. Meanwhile, goals and assists occur seldom and often by chance, and many great plays are forgotten.

At the highest levels of the sport, forwards still tend to get more than their share of attention, but talent in other positions is respected as well despite more modest stat-lines. In fact, many of the world's most revered players are not statistical giants.

The young Portugal and Manchester United winger Cristiano Ronaldo isn't the leading scorer on either of his teams, but his amazing speed and skill on the flank is so valuable in sparking both offenses that he is considered by many European commentators to be just a year or two away from becoming the most valuable player in the world.

French midfield legend Zinedine Zidane came away with the award for best player at this summer's World Cup — even though two of his three goals were penalty kicks — more because of his fine precision passing, great vision, and superb ball control than his stats.

The misconception, which though understandable is also correctable, is shared by much of the media: News-Gazette sportswriters who didn't grow up playing soccer consistently overrepresent forwards on their all-area teams because they amass the biggest numbers.

On this year's first team, there were a total of one goalie, six forwards (two of the players listed as midfielders, including myself, played essentially as forwards), three defenders, and only two true midfielders. Meanwhile, some kids whose play this season earned enormous respect from local coaches and other players were relegated to the second team or honorable mention because as midfielders playing their position correctly they were unable to accumulate overwhelming stats.

I'm not trying to say that stats are worthless indicators or that all strikers suck: Good teams must have deadly finishers as well as great buildup, and forwards can be the most creative and talented players on their squads. Overpossession and inefficiency in front of the goal are serious problems for many teams at all levels. And while midfielders who try to shirk their defensive duties to boost their stats can be a major liability, good midfield players who push forward and attack at the right times will usually have respectable numbers.

What I'm saying is that finishing is just one of many components that make a good team, and that midfielders shouldn't be held to the same statistical standards as forwards.

At the end of each World Cup, two individual honors are awarded that stand above the rest. The Golden Boot goes to the top goal scorer, while the Golden Ball, the award that Zidane most recently won, goes to the best overall player. Maybe if soccer box scores in the newspaper listed not only who scored and assisted, but also named one or two “Men of the Match” from each team, picked by their coaches as the overall most valuable players of the game, more credit could diffuse to where it was due.

These players could be the forward duo who combined for four goals, the defenders who covered opposing stars and held them scoreless, the midfielders who slashed the opposing defense apart with incisive passes, the goalkeeper who made 20 saves, or any combination of the above. It's time for the right players to get the recognition they deserve.

Comments

Word, Michael, word.

Excellent article, Michael. Well said.

Three things. First, Michael this is an extremely well written article. Good job. Second, Cristiano Ronaldo, in a few years, will indeed be the best soccer player in the world despite a lack of quantatative justification (and is already by far the best looking- he is my hero). Third, look at a player like Leroy, a star midfielder on last year's state level Urbana team. He didn't put up huge numbers but in my mind was still one of the most feared and respected players in the area. I remember discreetly running away from him in a match to avoide embarassing myself (even though statistically I had more goals he is 100 times the player I will ever be ). That brings up another point of varying degrees of competetiveness in different leagues. Scoring a goal in the ECIC conference is vastly different than scoring a goal against a New England prep school or against teams like Urbana and Centennial for that matter. Gauging the level of a player's usefullness and skill based on numbers is not fair.

goals win the game, the player(s) directly involved in scoring or stopping them are the most valuable on the team. Yes, a player who can control the ball amazingly is important but if he can't score himself and is surrounded by weak scorers, how many games is he or she really winning for you?

Good stuff Michael, thanks for writing this.

Mike, look at the last world cup. How did Italy get to the final? They didn't have one or two sick players who put the ball in the back of the net every other time they shot (ten different players scored with no player getting more than two.) Instead, the entire team had incredible control of the ball and so many of the goals they scored were easy finishes thanks to brilliant set ups. How did France get to the final. No one expected them to have a chance pre-cup. But like Michael said, we all underestimated the coldest player the game has ever known, Zidane. He controlled the entire game from the middle of the field. Germany had the top scorer of the cup. Brazil which probably had more finishing power than any other team dropped much earlier than expected because they all pulled the trigger as soon as they got the ball instead of setting each other up. This is not to diminish the status of finishers. There is no doubt in my mind that Al was the MVP our junior and senior seasons, and you would be my close second or even first our junior year as an incredible keeper. But especially at a higher level of soccer than the ECIC (as Justin pointed out) when it is harder to get goals past defenders, the most valuable players are often not the best finishers. Ronaldo is arguably the premier finisher of all time, but all he does is cherry pick at the goal, gets handed a ball on a platter, and with his one or two minutes of movement a game, converts a ridiculous number of those opportunities, but he is not and never was the best player in the game.

Nubz, looking at the last World Cup is always the hot but lame thing to do. I mean just because the Cardinals, a very mediocre team, won the World Series with anemic pitching and timely hitting doesn't disprove the adage that pitching will pay off down the stretch. Every year, NFL GMs try to copy the method of the previous Super Bowl winner(e.g. the Martz offense, the Bucs' pass rush) and the following year a different team wins with a completely innovative approach. Too much randomness occurs in a singular tournament or series for real analyses to be made. Joe Theismann said that "great players make great plays" and while I do not doubt Belmontague/Nubzor's argument I gotta side with da kid on this one. A great offensive player getting a few touches a game with a weak midfield is more valuable than Zidane playing with scrubnitzer forwards. Tru dat, COLLEGE BOY.

Italy had some ridiculous fire power though, even though their goals were so spread out. Luca Toni has been setting scoring records all throughout Italy. Even though Ronaldo is and was somewhat of a cherry picker if he creates two goals out of ten that no one else in the world would in a game where 1 goal may be scored the whole game, how can you not say he's the most valuable in the world. I know it's hard to compare soccer to other sports, but a great scorer like Ronaldo is comprable to the dimension Mike Vick adds to the Falcons. Even though Vick has been unable to pass of late, he used to be able to immediately change the game with his ability to create offense all by himself. With maybe the worst group of wide recievers and linemen in the NFL for the past few years, Mike Vick has been able to lead his team to within in a game of the superbowl only a year after they went 5-11 without him.

A prolific finisher getting a few touches a game with a weak midfield may be more valuable than Zidane with bad forwards, but is he more valuable than Zidane with good forwards? If Zidane is consistently making the plays that create the scoring opportunities that others capitalize on, is he not at least arguably the more precious player? It's true, a forward who can consistently put chances away is really valuable, and can be a team's greatest asset, but if your team can't obtain and advance the ball into good positions, nobody will score. Ronaldo doesn't create goals: He plays with some of the best players in the world, so he doesn't have to. True, he's a raw finisher, but a team of Ronaldo's would be terrible because it would never win the ball. Ronaldo would not even start for many professional teams anymore because there are young strikers who are almost as good of finishers, and who also do a lot more other stuff. Mike, let me ask you this about Mike Vick: You said he created offense all by himself, but did this involve actually scoring lots of touchdowns by running in himself or did it involve him gaining lots of yardage while other people scored the actual touchdowns? In soccer, nobody keeps track of yards gained, so you could actually gain lots of "yardage" for your team without getting any statistics. Also, let's look at the definition of "a great offensive player." Last year Seeley played forward and I played midfield. Seeley had 21 goals and I had like 9 or something. This year we switched, and I had 30, and Seeley had ten. Granick had 17, and easily could have had more had he not dropped back to play defense in a few of our games. So, you have to ask, do stats not have a lot to do w/ the position as well as the player? Lots of players could have big numbers if they only played the right position. Also, not to take anything away from Al-he's a good soccer player and a great athlete-but Henry was our MVP two years ago.

Belmont, good article, but i just want to say that soccer isnt the only sport where numbers arent most important thing. In football, offensive linemen are usually labeld as the big fat guys who dont do anything, but they are usually the most underappreciated players on the team. They dont get endorsments, no one buys their jerseys, but you never hear of a good offense with bad offensive linemen. You can say Vick makes offense by himself, but that isn't there week in and week out, and thats why he gets labeled inconsistent. And he took his team to a game from the Super Bowl when he passed and he had two serious running backs behind him, his team now is looking too shaky to get to the same level they were at in the year when they went to the NFC championship game. punters, kickers, and special teams players are also overlooked when looking at a teams success. yes, i am one of the people who dont like vick too much

I think that your point is about Zidane with good forwards is very valid. If a team has a plethora of offensive weapons, not elite weapons, but guys who can finish well if the oppurtunity arises, the player that can distribute to them and make it easy on them is the most valuable to the team. I'll create another parallel compare someone like Zidane to Steve Nash. Steve Nash, despite being a slow white guy, can set up his teammates better than any other player in the world. He is most valuable to the suns because the players around him, Shawn Marion, Amare Stoudamire, can't create on their own because they are mainly big men with suspect handles, but great moves and scoring ability when put in the right position. This is why he has been voted MVP for back to back years. Your point however about the position makes the stats I have a contradictory view on. Yes, a scorer will put up no stats when stuck back on defense, but if an amazing player and true scorer is put out of place, say at outside mid or something, his stats will still be reflective of his impacts, because a true scorer should be able to create under diversity, a true test of his ability. Take a look at Zidane, yes he has amazing ball control and passing ability, but his true worth was proved in the 98 world cup finals where he scored twice to take the cup over brazil. A truly miraculous performance that almost assuredly no other midfielder in the world could have done. A great player with shine through with stats in the end.

You're right that great midfield players will score goals, often at critical moments. But over the long run their production won't be the same as that of forwards, even less accomplished ones. Zidane is capable of coming up with big goals in big games, but he still doesn't score at the same rate as his forwards. From the 2001-2002 season through the 2005-2006 season, he scored a total of 46 goals for Real Madrid, and assisted on 10 others. Meanwhile, his striker teammate Raul, despite having some terrible seasons (by top standards) during that stretch, had 78 goals and 5 assists. Meanwhile Cristiano Ronaldo has had 27 goals from 2002/2003 up to the present for Sporting and Manchester United as a winger, despite being one of the most exciting players in the world during that time. Closer to home, we can look at Judah Christian's Michael Marten, currently a D1 scholarship player and arguably the best ever to come out of the area. My freshman year, when Judah had an amazing team full of capable seniors supporting Marten, who was a junior at the time, Marten started at forward against us and scored three goals in the first twenty minutes. He then dropped back into the midfield where he continued to dominate us, but didn't score the rest of the game. Two years ago, when Marten was a senior on a weak Judah team and had to do everything almost by himself, he only managed two goals against us in two entire games, and he scored both of those while playing forward. Granted, your goalkeeping made a big difference in our lineup between those two years, but it's also true that Ratcliffe was in goal for at least 50 minutes for us in the first Judah game two years ago(no offense to Ratcliffe). Anyways, I should have been writing college essays just now. This is my last post on this topic. Peace.

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